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September 24, 2004
Just Say No To An NFL Cap
Or at least that's what some of my readers tell me in response to my rant (and a rant it was) from yesterday. First, here's Jason Kirk, whose site, Predators Den, is soon to be added to the blogroll: I can also tell you this much about the NFL: I've stopped watching. I just don't care about it anymore. Teams don't keep their great players together the way they used to. In just two years I watched the bulk of the Titans leave the team because the team couldn't afford to resign them under the salary cap. McNair and Mason are almost all the players that remain from the Super Bowl against the Rams three years ago. That's not enough to make me care at all. If an NHL system mimicking the NFL were to come about, I doubt I'd want to be a Preds season ticket holder (like I am now) while watching all my favorite players go elsewhere. Players leaving because another team in an open market system lures them away is fine by me; players leaving because the league's structure forces them to I'm not. Point taken Jason, but the problem we're facing is the large scale business failure of the NHL. If the choice is between a salary cap and stability on one hand, and a broken system and eventual extinction on the other, I know what I'll choose. Then again, some might think that's a false choice, and that the alternatives are less hopeful than I might imagine. Here's Skip Oliva: A salary cap won't help the NHL long term. It might paper-over the economic problems for five or ten years. But you can't simply turn the NHL into the NFL. In fact, that's not even a worthy objective. The NFL economic model isn't that stable either. The NFL has heavily depended on government financing to build stadiums, free agency has driven up player costs while decreasing product quality, and television revenues will not continue to grow at pre-expansion levels. Monday Night Football, for example, will have to move to cable at some point, because no television network can afford to produce the show without the second revenue stream of cable subscriptions. Free television cannot continue to support sports leagues at their present sizes. A salary cap exists to contain the damage wrought by free agency. It is a stopgap, nothing more. I take Skip's point, but I don't think the advantages the NFL has are just a matter of happenstance. Instead, they're the result of aggressive management and careful planning, something that has resulted in its lead as North America's most profitable professional sport. It's that sort of management acumen -- something Skip alludes to later in his note -- that the NHL seems to be lacking. Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsRegarding Jason's comment about player movement and the dismantling of teams: there's plenty of that already in the NHL even without a salary cap. Take a look at the Pittsburgh Penguins. I don't have any figures about this, and it might simply seem that way because I follow the NHL more closely, but it seems like the NHL has an awful lot of player movement even apart from various fire sales. My girlfriend is exhausted by how many former Penguins there are (because I bitterly mention it whenever one of them scores). Posted by: at September 24, 2004 10:47 AM Someone might be able to crunch numbers and tell me a salary cap fits the NHL better than a luxury tax would. But since I majored in philosophy and not business, I'm inclined to go with the luxury tax, if for no other reason that it gives teams some incentive to keep costs reasonable while still allowing teams to keep a successful core intact as long as they're willing to shell out extra. I think this creates parity *in the long term*. Maybe the Penguins would suffer for a few years, but after a while, the bank books would look a little healthier as the luxury-tax money trickles down, and then they can keep the best of their young talent together. Short-term parity actually hurts on a lot of levels. First, there's the dismantling of your favorite team, as Jason describes. Beyond that, you can have a league like MLS 2004, where the teams are so closely bunched that it's become like a first-week stage in the Tour de France -- eventually, a weak team may drop off the pace, but you're basically just watching the pack whiz through town with no clear leader. If you find a decent defense from Bettman on why the cap is better than the tax, I'd love to see it. Not holding my breath, of course. Posted by: at September 24, 2004 11:30 AM It does not matter whether a cap is better than a luxury tax it only matters that 1) it makes teams immediately profitable and 2) it allows the NHL to control its owners. It was the Sakic contract (the Rangers offered 17m, an increase of almost 500%, and Colorado felt compelled to match it) in '97 that blew the lid off the current CBA. As long as guys like Illitch can offer obscene amounts to players like Federov, circumventing the CBA with creative contracts pumped up by bonuses, small market teams will never be profitable, if you believe the NHL numbers, (but with guys like Wirtz legally distributing funds amongst a number of Chicago subsidiaries, who knows what the real revenues are). In terms of parity the NHL is as competitively balanced as it has ever been. No longer do fans see the great dynasties; the Leafs in the late Forties, the Red Wings, seven straight Prince of Wales trophies, the Canadiens, five straight cups, the Islanders and the Oilers. Currently, more teams have a chance to win the Cup, and since the playoffs are when teams really make their money, profits are higher. Which for the owners, and for any business for that matter, is what counts. Posted by: at September 26, 2004 12:55 AM Here's a take on the luxury tax MLB decided to go with. There will still be the ultra-rich violators, but with 16 teams making it to the post season, time may curb their excessive spending. Posted by: at September 26, 2004 10:48 AM But Charles, a properly implemented luxury tax can also accomplish (1) and (2). So why isn't it on the table? I wasn't complaining about the current state of NHL parity except in the sense that some teams (Penguins) can't afford to do a thing. And granted, some of them may be beyond repair. I was just saying that the tax system has the advantage of promoting long-term parity over short-term parity. Posted by: at September 27, 2004 10:28 AM Post a commentThanks for signing in, . (If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. 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