Off Wing Opinion
Off Wing Opinion


August 02, 2005

Balko on Palmeiro


Here's one of my old blogging buddies, Radley Balko, on the Rafael Palmeiro steroids bust:

I'm just not buying it. Maybe Palmeiro took steroids early in his career. But why now?

Here's a guy in the last season of his career. He has a Hall of Fame slot all but locked up. Three thousand hits, five hundred home runs. He also makes considerable money in endorsement deals. Why would he jeopardize his pitch money and his legacy to juice up for the last season of his career? Especially after testifying before Congress that he's clean? Especially knowing that baseball would be extra vigilant about testing for the stuff this year?

(snip)

My best guess is that Pameiro's either a victim of Bayes' Theorem or that he took a supplement from someone he trusted, but probably shouldn't have.

Which is not quite unlike what I said yesterday.

UPDATE: More from David Ginsburg.



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